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CHICAGO--(BUSINESS WIRE)--At a
time when the stock market is struggling just to maintain any gains, investors
are finding it extremely difficult to come up with investment choices that
outperform the market averages. But, while it may be challenging to find stocks
that are performing well in this turbulent market environment, it’s not impossible. Having said that, Zacks Investment Research
releases the rankings of the model portfolios of some of the street’s retail brokerages for the first half of 2008.
The leading brokerage firms employ analysts who produce recommendations for
hundreds of stocks, which can not all be bought for a client portfolio. These
brokerage firms then create model portfolios from all of the stocks each firm is
following. These can be used as a starting point in the stock selection process
to meet a specific client's risk & return needs. The process to create these
lists range from a bottom up quantitative methodology, to a top down fundamental
process. The model portfolios in the Zacks survey include U.S. traded equities
including ADRs.
This is the second consecutive survey during a volatile stock market.
What’s very important to take note of in this mid-year
update, is that even though the model portfolios for thirteen of the fourteen
participating retail brokerages produced negative total returns for the first
six months of the year, nine of them outperformed the S&P 500. Seven of the
fourteen outperformed the bellwether index by a percent or better. The
significance of this being that brokers continue to be a reliable investor
resource for stock picks. The better performing model portfolios in the first
half of 2008, contained stocks in the Computer Technology and Oil sectors.
Raymond James, Morgan Keegan and Credit Suisse took first, second and third
place respectively. Matrix won first place in the three year category and
Goldman Sachs won the gold in the five year.
The top 14 ranked brokerages for the first half of 2008 (12/31/07 to
6/30/08) are as follows…
| Rank |
|
|
Brokerage Firm |
|
|
Total Return |
|
|
Excess
Return vs.
S&P
500
|
| 1. |
|
|
Raymond James |
|
|
0.27% |
|
|
12.18% |
| 2. |
|
|
Morgan Keegan |
|
|
-0.18% |
|
|
11.74% |
| 3. |
|
|
Credit Suisse |
|
|
-4.25% |
|
|
7.66% |
| 4. |
|
|
Matrix USA |
|
|
-5.47% |
|
|
6.44% |
| 5. |
|
|
Goldman Sachs |
|
|
-8.11% |
|
|
3.80% |
| 6. |
|
|
Charles Schwab |
|
|
-10.29% |
|
|
1.62% |
| 7. |
|
|
Morgan Stanley |
|
|
-10.60% |
|
|
1.31% |
| 8. |
|
|
Edward Jones |
|
|
-11.08% |
|
|
0.83% |
| 9. |
|
|
A G Edwards |
|
|
-11.40% |
|
|
0.51% |
| 10. |
|
|
Smith Barney |
|
|
-12.65% |
|
|
-0.74% |
| 11. |
|
|
Merrill Lynch |
|
|
-14.62% |
|
|
-2.70 |
| 12. |
|
|
McAdams Wright Ragen |
|
|
-14.85% |
|
|
-2.93% |
| 13. |
|
|
Wedbush Morgan |
|
|
-15.77% |
|
|
-3.86% |
| 14. |
|
|
New Constructs |
|
|
-19.18% |
|
|
-7.27% |
- Wedbush Morgan and New Constructs joined the
survey in January of 2008
- S&P Total Return……-11.91%
Zacks complete one-, three-, five- and seven-year rankings are available to
the media upon request. Zacks calculates the performance of the brokerage "model
portfolios" it tracks, on an equal-weighted basis. Total return performance
figures include stock price changes, dividends and hypothetical trading
commissions of 1% for each addition and deletion to the model portfolios.
The S&P 500 Index is a well-known, unmanaged index of the prices of 500
large-company common stocks, mainly blue-chip stocks, selected by Standard &
Poor's. The S&P 500 Index assumes reinvestment of dividends but does not
reflect advisory fees. An investor cannot invest directly in an index.
Zacks Investment Research, Inc., developed the concept of the EPS Surprise
and created the first quantitative model to predict stock prices based on
patterns, estimate revisions and surprises, called the Zacks Rank. Zacks
Investment Research does not engage in investment banking, market making or
asset management activities of any securities.
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